Rosetta · SkyFields v2.4.2

Rosetta SkyFields

Translating the living Earth–Moon–Sun system.

System status: Active
UTC
Local

Snapshot assembled 20:13:19 UTC

Today

the whole system at a glance, and the day's story

Attract · Contain · Transform · Release

The Field Envelope

live composition
highly coupled
wakein solar windSOLAR WIND474 km/sBZ -2.9 NThighly coupledMAGNETOPAUSE~11.6 Rᴇ · 0.78 nPaMAGNETOTAILOutsideWANING CRESCENT7%
Bz southward (coupling)Bz northward (shielded)magnetotail windowGeometry & compression reflect live conditions — a schematic, not to scale.
What am I looking at?

The centerpiece schematic: Sun, wind streamlines, bow shock, magnetopause, Earth's field and the Moon's position — every shape driven by live data, not decoration.

  • · The magnetopause bubble compresses as ram pressure rises; streamline pace follows the driving index.
  • · Field-line tint follows Bz: teal shielded, red coupling.
  • · The tail glows when it is loaded — the battery visible.

Fed by: Live wind conditions + the derived boundary physics. Feeds: A visual index into every detailed panel below it.

Upstream data degraded — affected verdicts read “unknown” rather than guessed
Ground magnetometer — USGS Newport: error · at least 0 min (first observed 09-08 20:13Z)

The outage is at the data source, not this instrument. Everything else continues live; degraded feeds serve their last good values where honest, and recover automatically.

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Rosetta Note

The Sun is quiet: 9 numbered regions carrying 22 spots (Wolf number ~92, this catalogue), with bipolar groups at the most complex. 2 regions are rotating toward the Earth-facing meridian. Low-level activity: 2 C-class flares in the last 24 hours. Current wind is most consistent with ordinary slow solar wind (moderate confidence); quiet until the next stream or ejecta. Bz has held southward for 10.2 h (mean -3.1 nT) in a 474 km/s wind — the valve is wide open and solar-wind energy is loading the magnetosphere efficiently. Kp stepped up sharply during elevated driving — consistent with tail energy release and particle injection (inferred from Kp; no electrojet index available). Earth's field is geomagnetically quiet (Kp 1.7). The auroral oval is active, its equatorward edge near 63°N — the coupling made visible. The ≥2 MeV population is climbing — acceleration is underway inside the belt. The rise follows the strongest driving by ~15h — consistent with the belt's delayed response to earlier input (possible relationship, not causation). The water engine is loading: sustained rainfall is filling receiving basins faster than they drain. The Moon is a Waning Crescent (7% illuminated). Moon upstream in the direct solar wind, near the Sun–Earth line; its wake trails generally Earthward. Solar-wind energy is loading the magnetosphere efficiently meanwhile. Lunar Tail Transit #002 is complete in the model. The dossier is preserved and awaiting delayed ARTEMIS spacecraft validation — the original predictions cannot be rewritten by later data. The next modeled sheath entry is T−14d 20h away (09/23); the next event opens its baseline capture 72 hours before it. Today reads as an active comparison state — a useful elevated reference.

These systems are currently talking.

Rule-based reading generated deterministically from the current metrics. Describes observable field relationships only — no biological or predictive claims.

What am I looking at?

The Rosetta Note: the whole system's state as one narrative paragraph, assembled from the exact objects the panels render — it cannot contradict them.

  • · Reads top-down like the chain: Sun → wind → valve → response → memory → Moon.
  • · The closing line is the same unified status as the Hero pill.

Fed by: Every canonical state on the dashboard. Feeds: The plain-language record of the moment.

The Source

what the Sun is sending — surface activity and eruptions in flight

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The Sun Today

live

The Sun is quiet: 9 numbered regions carrying 22 spots (Wolf number ~92, this catalogue), with bipolar groups at the most complex. 2 regions are rotating toward the Earth-facing meridian. Low-level activity: 2 C-class flares in the last 24 hours.

92this catalogue
Regions97 with spots
Bbipolar groups
0.37 pfuquiet
X-rays & flares24h: 2C 0M 0X · 7d: 26C 3M 0X
now B5.5flux 5.6e-7 W/m² 110 sfulatest C2.8 @ 17:43Zstrongest M3.0
x-ray flux · 6h (log)
AR4527N03E205 spots · A mag · 180 µhfacing Earth
AR4521N09W411 spots · A mag · 80 µhrotating out
AR4528S11E371 spots · A mag · 60 µhrotating in
AR4530N19E066 spots · B mag · 40 µhfacing Earth
AR4524N12W012 spots · A mag · 40 µhfacing Earth
AR4529N11E371 spots · A mag · 30 µhrotating in
Solar character journal · 31 days Observed
09-08 9 regions, 22 spots · lost 1 spots · 2 C-class flares
09-07 9 regions, 23 spots · gained 10 spots · 1 C-class flare
09-06 9 regions, 13 spots · gained 3 spots · peak complexity BG · 2 C-class flares
09-05 9 regions, 10 spots · lost 2 spots · flared to M1.0
09-04 10 regions, 12 spots · gained 5 spots · flared to M1.2
09-03 7 regions, 7 spots · lost 6 spots · 6 C-class flares
09-02 7 regions, 13 spots · lost 2 spots · flared to M3.0
09-01 7 regions, 15 spots · lost 6 spots · 3 C-class flares
08-31 8 regions, 21 spots · lost 3 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-30 6 regions, 24 spots · gained 1 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-29 6 regions, 23 spots · lost 9 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-28 6 regions, 32 spots · gained 6 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-27 5 regions, 26 spots · lost 13 spots · peak complexity BGD · flare record beyond 7d window
08-26 6 regions, 39 spots · lost 4 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-25 4 regions, 43 spots · lost 1 spots · peak complexity BGD · flare record beyond 7d window
08-24 5 regions, 44 spots · gained 11 spots · peak complexity BGD · flare record beyond 7d window
08-23 6 regions, 33 spots · gained 6 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-22 7 regions, 27 spots · gained 8 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-21 5 regions, 19 spots · lost 13 spots · peak complexity BGD · flare record beyond 7d window
08-20 6 regions, 32 spots · gained 9 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-19 6 regions, 23 spots · lost 8 spots · peak complexity BGD · flare record beyond 7d window
08-18 6 regions, 31 spots · lost 5 spots · peak complexity BGD · flare record beyond 7d window
08-17 6 regions, 36 spots · gained 6 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-16 7 regions, 30 spots · lost 1 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-15 9 regions, 31 spots · lost 5 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-14 8 regions, 36 spots · gained 5 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-13 8 regions, 31 spots · lost 1 spots · peak complexity BG · flare record beyond 7d window
08-12 6 regions, 32 spots · gained 10 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-11 5 regions, 22 spots · gained 12 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-10 3 regions, 10 spots · lost 1 spots · flare record beyond 7d window
08-09 3 regions, 11 spots · flare record beyond 7d window

Derived on request from the SWPC region catalogue (30 days) and GOES flare list (7 days) — nothing stored, everything recomputable.

Teach me the Sun
How a CME differs from a flare

A flare is light — an intense X-ray flash that reaches Earth in 8 minutes. A CME is matter — a billion tons of magnetized plasma that takes one to three days to arrive, if it is aimed at us at all. They often happen together, but either can occur without the other, and it is the CME that carries the magnetic field that can open Earth's valve.

Lessons are ordered by what the sky is doing right now.

What am I looking at?

The daily portrait of the Sun: how many spot regions it carries, how magnetically tangled they are, what it has released in X-rays, and a month-long journal of its behavior.

  • · The summary sentence is the headline — 'quiet', 'restless' or 'eruptive' sets the day's tone.
  • · Complexity beats size: a small βγ or δ region outranks a big simple one for flare risk.
  • · FACING EARTH regions matter most; 'rotating in' regions are next week's story.
  • · An interesting day: M/X flares in the strip, complexity BG or higher, spots doubling in the journal.

Fed by: SWPC region catalogue + GOES X-ray flare list. Feeds: Flares light the ionosphere in 8 minutes; eruptions from these regions become the Journey panel's CMEs.

Attract · Release

Solar Disk

Sun — EUV 193EW452745214528453045244529452345264525
Fe XII ~1.2 MK — corona + coronal holes (dark)NASA SDO · ~15 min cadence · snapshot 20:13Z · AR positions 2026-09-08
What am I looking at?

The Sun itself, imaged by NASA's SDO within the last ~15 minutes, with the catalogue's active regions marked at their true positions.

  • · Switch layers: Visible shows the spots, Magnetogram their polarity, EUV 193 the corona — dark patches there are coronal holes, the sources of fast wind.
  • · East (left) rotates toward Earth-facing; west rotates away.
  • · An interesting day: a big dark coronal hole crossing centre, or a bright active region cluster at the meridian.

Fed by: SDO imagery + the same region catalogue as Sun Today. Feeds: What crosses the central meridian faces Earth for the next few days.

Attract · Transform · Release

The Journey

live
Likely solar sourceInferred
Ordinary slow solar windmoderate confidence
  • · unremarkable slow wind (474 km/s, ordinary field)

slow wind persists until the next structure arrives. Likely next phase: quiet until the next stream or ejecta.

CME arrival watch7-day catalogue
09-07T09:23Z N12E22 · 352 km/s
arrival ~09-11T12:00Z ±7h · pending Model Estimate
09-06T21:53Z · 285 km/s
arrival ~09-12T17:30Z ±12h · pending Calculated
09-06T10:53Z N12E32 · 1085 km/s
arrival ~09-08T18:41Z ±7h · pending Model Estimate
09-05T18:09Z N12E42 · 1110 km/s
arrival ~09-07T23:21Z ±7h · pending Model Estimate
09-05T11:09Z N12E45 · 873 km/s
arrival ~09-08T02:52Z ±7h · pending Model Estimate
09-03T18:00Z · 317 km/s
arrival ~09-09T03:25Z ±12h · pending Calculated

NASA DONKI catalogue. Arrival ≠ storm: geoeffectiveness depends on the magnetic orientation measured only on arrival at L1. Misses are scored only when the whole window sat inside our observed wind history.

What the streams say about each othertime-lag analysis · never causation from timing alone

Solar eruptions were observed in recent days, but no convincing causal link to current near-Earth conditions has been established. Research Question

What am I looking at?

What kind of solar structure is passing Earth right now (with evidence and confidence), which CMEs are en route, and what the data streams say about each other.

  • · Attribution is diagnosis: coronal-hole stream, CME cloud, or ordinary wind — with the fingerprints listed.
  • · The arrival watch lists each Earth-directed CME with its forecast window; the scoreboard grades those forecasts after the fact.
  • · An interesting day: a halo CME pending with an ENLIL window inside 24h.

Fed by: NASA's DONKI catalogue + the L1 wind character. Feeds: A matched arrival becomes a shock in the receiver's propagation trace.

The Gate

the wind at L1 and whether its field lets energy couple in

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Solar Wind

live
474 km/s
Density2.07 p/cm³
Temperature128,182 K
5.1 nT
-2.9 nTsouthward
Sample20:09 UTC
Southward for—:—:—
regime · 10 min+
coupling open — energy loading into the reservoir
before this: northward 0 min · mean 0.8 nT · peak 0.8 nT
24h extremes: +11.5 / -13.4 nT · 60 crossings/24h · strongly directional
1h
3h
6h
12h
24h
What is the valve clock telling me?

The valve. Earth's dayside field points north. When the solar wind arrives carrying a southward Bz, the two fields cancel and reconnect — the valve opens and solar-wind energy pours into the magnetosphere. A northward Bz can't reconnect there, so the valve shuts.

Why duration beats magnitude. +4.5 nT is not “4.5 units of shielding”: once Bz turns positive, the southward component that drives coupling collapses toward zero regardless of how positive it gets. A ten-second excursion is a flutter; 10+ minutes is a genuine regime. The clock — not the instantaneous number — is the measurement.

The reservoir. Energy loaded while the valve was open doesn't vanish when it closes. It persists as the ring current and radiation-belt electrons — the intake shuts while the reservoir stays energized — which is why storm effects and elevated 2 MeV electron flux outlive the southward interval that caused them.

Where this is measured. Upstream at L1, ~1.5 million km sunward of Earth (spacecraft: SOLAR1). At the current wind speed of 474 km/s, what the spacecraft sees now reaches Earth's magnetosphere in ~53 minutes — this clock is a short-range forecast, not the field at Earth this second.

The Moon in the same stream. The Moon is out in this same stream right now — the identical Bz washes over it, unshielded. One stream, three bodies: the Sun sets the valve, Earth stores the charge, the Moon samples whichever side of the boundary its orbit has carried it to.

Method: single NOAA RTSW spacecraft (SOLAR1), ±0.5 nT deadband, flutter <3 min absorbed, telemetry gaps >10 min break the clock, 24 h of history observed.

Upstream driver detail
speed449 km/s -7/h · 447627
density5.3 p/cm³ -0.9/h · 4.723.6
temp173883 K +24897/h · 113433943681
Bt5.1 nT +0.2/h · 2.914.3
Bx-4.2 nT -1.4/h · -8.011.6
By0.0 nT -1.1/h · -5.414.3
Bz-2.9 nT +0.4/h · -13.411.5
E-field 1.38 mV/m Calculatedβ 0.35 Calculated
no shocks or sector boundaries detected in the observed window

Ranges and rates cover the ~24h single-spacecraft window. The E-field is the geoeffective −V×Bs component: zero whenever Bz points north.

speed~2h window Bz
What am I looking at?

The wind measured upstream at L1 — speed, density, temperature and the interplanetary field — plus the valve clock tracking how long Bz has held its orientation.

  • · Bz is the number to watch: southward and holding = the valve is open.
  • · The valve clock's duration beats the instantaneous value — a 10-second swing is noise, 15+ minutes is a regime.
  • · The colored window bars show how much of each recent hour was spent south (red) vs north (teal).
  • · An interesting day: speed 550+, Bz pinned south for an hour, the E-field above 2 mV/m in driver detail.

Fed by: L1 monitors, ~30–60 minutes ahead of Earth. Feeds: Feeds the coupling state, the driving index and everything below them.

Attract · Contain · Release

Coupling Ledger

The chain of energy transfer through the envelope — each link driven by a measured quantity and a stated rule. Not a causal claim; a transparent reading.

Solar wind
474 km/s · Bz -2.9
Magnetosphere
Highly Coupled
Strong
θ 179° southward · held 10.2h
Magnetosphere
Kp 1.7
Ionosphere · aurora
Active to ~63°N
Weak
Kp 1.7 band
Magnetotail
Release Signature (inferred from Kp)
Radiation beltest
Acceleration underway
Strong
6h driving 1.82×
Moon geometry
Waning Crescent
Magnetotail (region)est
Solar wind
Weak
next: magnetosheath in 15.0 d
Overall field stateActive
What am I looking at?

The Coupling Ledger: the whole energy chain as four links, each with the measured quantity driving it and the rule that scored it.

  • · Read it left to right as energy flow: wind → magnetosphere → ionosphere, tail → belt, Moon → tail region.
  • · Every strength here is derived from the same canonical states as the detailed panels — by construction, they cannot disagree.
  • · An interesting day: three or more links non-weak at once.

Fed by: A summary of every layer's canonical state. Feeds: The Hero status pill is the one-word version of this table.

Earth's Response

what the receiver measures, what the system stores and remembers

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Earth Field Receiver

offline

The shield, current skin, and body of Earth responding to the solar driver — traced from L1 to the ground at Newport, Washington.

Earth stateconfidence 0.72
Openly Coupled

The valve is wide open and solar-wind energy is entering the magnetosphere efficiently.

  • · Dst -31 nT — ring current near quiet levels Observed
  • · GOES Hp +25.1 nT above its daily median — dayside field compressed Observed
  • · Bz coupling state: Highly Coupled — the valve is wide open Calculated
  • · Accumulated driving: sustained loading Calculated
  • · Radiation-belt population climbing Observed
Ground pulse · NEWNewport · USGS Observed
nT/min unknown
max /15m · /3h
Δ from quiet: X · Y · Z nT · F nT

Rate of field change drives induced currents — during disturbances this number matters more than field strength. Quiet baseline = this window's own median.

· Kyoto WDC Observed
-31nTUnsettled
7d minimum -42 nT @ 09-07T21h · hourly index · latest 19:00Z

The storm bathtub level: how much energized plasma circles Earth. Storms begin near −50 nT; the deeper it falls, the stronger the ring current.

Geosynchronous field · GOES-19 Observed
Hp 94.8 nT (+25.1 vs day median) · 1 sudden impulse/24h
Solar driveractive
Magnetosphereactive
Radiation beltsactive
Ground fieldunknown
Global response ·
1.7 Quiet
Active · to ~63°N
NOAA notice
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Solar wind → ground · synchronized 24hshared time axis — trace a disturbance downward
Bz nT
-2.6
Kp
1.7
Dst nT
-31
GOES Hp
95
dB/dt
no data in window
−24hnow
What am I looking at?

Earth as the responding body: the unified Earth state with its evidence, the ring current (Dst), the geosynchronous field (GOES), the global Kp/aurora response, and the ground itself at Newport, Washington.

  • · The Earth state card is the verdict — read its evidence lines, and take contradictions (⚡) seriously: they lower confidence on purpose.
  • · Ground Pulse's dB/dt is the induction number — the one a grid operator would watch.
  • · The synchronized stack is the panel's point: follow a bump left-to-right from Bz down to the ground.
  • · An interesting day: Dst diving past −50, Hp impulses, dB/dt going yellow — in that order, minutes apart.

Fed by: The valve, the driving index, and pressure from the wind panels. Feeds: The last physical stop — after this, effects belong to grids, pipelines and aurora watchers.

Contain · Transform

Loading & Memory

Magnetospheric drivingCalculated
Sustained loading
1h
1.59×
3h
1.71×
6h
1.82×
12h
1.97×
24h
1.84×

Time-integrated ÷ its long-term average — a dashboard-derived index of an established coupling model, not a universal constant.

Tail energyInferred
Release Signature (inferred from Kp)

Kp stepped up sharply during elevated driving — consistent with tail energy release and particle injection (inferred from Kp; no electrojet index available).

1h driving 1.59× avg · 3h driving 1.71× avg · 6h driving 1.82× avg · Kp 1.7 (rose 1.7 in 3h)

Southward Bz and strong coupling may load the tail; reconnection and substorm activity may later inject particles inward, even after upstream conditions change.

Radiation-belt memoryObserved
Acceleration underway

The ≥2 MeV population is climbing — acceleration is underway inside the belt. The rise follows the strongest driving by ~15h — consistent with the belt's delayed response to earlier input (possible relationship, not causation).

≥2 MeV 664 pfu · slope +0.736/6h (log₁₀) · seed 865 keV 183 (1.11× vs 6h ago)
peak driving 15h ago

Charging risk: low — a satellite deep-charging consideration in orbit, not a ground-level hazard. Current flux is the stored particle state; Bz and coupling describe today's input.

Wave accelerationInferred
Unfavorable
  • · moderately fast wind

Acceleration conditions inferred from proxies — no direct chorus/ULF wave measurement is publicly available in real time.

What am I looking at?

The system's energy ledger: how hard the wind has been driving (accumulated, not instantaneous), what the magnetotail is doing with the energy, what the radiation belt still holds, and whether wave acceleration is favored.

  • · Driving bars are cumulative — the 24h bar can stay hot long after the 1h bar cools: that lag IS the memory.
  • · 'Recovery with residual stored energy' means: input stopped, consequences continuing.
  • · Belt memory answers for past days, not this hour — high flux on a quiet day is normal.
  • · An interesting day: sustained loading + tail release signature + seeds rising = a rebuild in progress.

Fed by: The Bz/coupling history and Kp. Feeds: Tail releases inject the seeds the belt accelerates; belt flux sets satellite charging risk.

Attract · Contain · Transform

Terra

live
Volcanic · live
38
erupting worldwide
4
strongest current
  • SemeruVEI 4 · since 2019
  • ManamVEI 4 · since 2018
  • SheveluchVEI 4 · since 1999
  • KrasheninnikovVEI 3 · since 2025
Watch— highest U.S. alert (Great Sitkin)

Global eruptions: Smithsonian GVP · U.S. alert levels: USGS.

Lightning → · provenance
7.83
Hz fundamental
harmonics 14.3 · 20.8 · 27.3 · 33.8 Hz

44 lightning flashes per second worldwide ring the Earth–ionosphere cavity, sustaining its resonance near 7.83 Hz.

Open data gap

No reliable open real-time feed exists for global flash rate or live Schumann amplitude. Shown here as physical constants + climatology — not a live measurement.

Seismic · live (USGS M4.5+)
Normal backgroundlive
14
M4.5+ last 24h · 104 in 7d
M5.3
largest 24h
M6.3
largest 7d
  • M5.6 · 93 km SE of Kirakira, Solomon Islands09-06 04:05Z · 38.5 km · shallow
    sky at that moment: Moon post-transit (LTT-2026-08-002)
  • M5.5 · southeast of the Loyalty Islands09-07 05:50Z · 10 km · shallow
    sky at that moment: Moon post-transit (LTT-2026-08-002)

Provider event classifications are preserved; magnitude detections are not assumed to be tectonic earthquakes. Sky alignments are temporal observations only — USGS finds no strong overall correlation between broad seismicity and lunar or solar timing (small tidal modulation exists for specific shallow fault classes). Relationship undetermined; recorded, not collapsed into causation.

Terra is this dashboard's ground layer. Its planned link into the chain is the grid-stress induction reading (dB/dt → induced currents) — see notes/grid-stress.md.

What am I looking at?

Earth's own independent energy channels — live volcanic activity and the lightning-driven Schumann resonance background. No solar connection implied; this is the planet's baseline hum.

  • · Volcanic alerts are real-time; Schumann figures are physical constants and climatology, not a live feed (yet).
  • · This panel is deliberately separate: solid-Earth activity is tracked as parallel, not caused.

Fed by: Smithsonian GVP + USGS volcanic alerts. Feeds: The planned grid-stress and Schumann-station layers will join here.

The Moon Probe

the Moon riding through the system — and the spacecraft that check the model

Contain · Transform · Release

Lunar Transit Observatory

LTT-2026-08-002live
Lunar Tail Transit #002Awaiting Spacecraft Validationconfidence 0.85 · model v1.0.0

Awaiting spacecraft validation — predictions frozen · next transit T−14d 20h.

Next transitmodeled sheath entry 09/23 17:05Z (T−14d 20h)baseline capture opens 09/20 17:05Z
Predicted crossing sequenceModel Estimate
Magnetosheath entry
est 08/25 13:22Z ±8h 36m · window 08/25 04:43Z08/25 21:55Z · passed (modeled) · conf 0.81
Magnetotail entry
est 08/25 22:26Z ±7h 51m · window 08/25 14:32Z08/26 06:13Z · passed (modeled) · conf 0.83
Central tail passage
est 08/28 04:12Z ±5m · window 08/28 04:12Z08/28 04:12Z · passed (modeled) · conf 0.00
Tail exit
est 09/01 00:32Z ±11h 58m · window 08/31 12:33Z09/01 12:30Z · passed (modeled) · conf 0.00
Bow-shock exit
est 09/02 01:20Z ±15h 07m · window 09/01 10:15Z09/02 16:29Z · passed (modeled) · conf 0.00

Modeled boundary crossings under the live standoff — not spacecraft measurements. The envelope is an ensemble over compressed/expanded boundaries (±12% standoff, ±2 nT Bz). The tail moves and flaps; the Moon can cross a boundary more than once.

Current lunar plasma regimeModel Estimate
Solar-wind immersion
Stable regime · since 08/31 03:14Z
Moon at 58.1 Rᴇ
tail boundary 12.1 Rᴇ
boundary distance —
motion contracting
Pdyn 0.8 nPa
Bz -2.9 nT
· Lunar geometry Calculated
· Boundary position Model Estimate
· Solar-wind pressure Observed
· ARTEMIS confirmation — pending, ~2–3 days behind
Pre-transit baseline150 samples · since 08/21 18:27Z

The Moon is approaching a magnetotail that has seen only weak recent coupling. 6-hour driving 0.62× · 24-hour driving 0.56× · 24-hour Kp maximum 1.3 · radiation-belt memory: quiet · tail state: loading.

Kp: 1.7 · latest-official · live
Kp: 4.7 · 24h-max · live

Rolling 30-minute captures of the driver, the geomagnetic response, Loading & Memory and lunar geometry — parallel observations, not coupled responses. The record freezes at modeled sheath entry.

Tail reservoir at entry · frozen 08/25 10:11ZCalculated
1h 0.39×
3h 0.42×
6h 0.35×
12h 0.32×
24h 0.39×
tail quiet

The Moon is entering a quiet, weakly driven tail — conditions frozen at crossing.

Entry conditions are write-once — later recovery values never overwrite them.

Spacecraft model-agreement record · inconclusiveObserved
Magnetosheath entry · inconclusive
Ion density cannot separate solar wind from magnetosheath — this crossing is inconclusive by design in v1.8 (|B| structure analysis is a future refinement).
Magnetotail entry · inconclusive
No clean sustained transition in the ARTEMIS window (coverage 8%) — data gap or continuous flapping.
Tail exit · inconclusive
No clean sustained transition in the ARTEMIS window (coverage 4%) — data gap or continuous flapping.
Bow-shock exit · inconclusive
Ion density cannot separate solar wind from magnetosheath — this crossing is inconclusive by design in v1.8 (|B| structure analysis is a future refinement).
Ground-side observations · seismictemporal record · relationship undetermined
M6.7 · Scotia Sea · 08-22 08:22Z · 10 km
M6.2 · Scotia Sea · 08-22 08:22Z · 10 km
M6.0 · 33 km SSW of Honchō, Japan · 08-23 13:44Z · 42.9 km
M6.0 · 215 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 08-24 14:10Z · 10 km
M6.0 · 145 km N of Caluula, Somalia · 08-27 21:07Z · 10 km · Moon inside the magnetotail
M6.2 · South Sandwich Islands region · 09-02 23:46Z · 125.9 km · Moon post-transit
M6.2 · 105 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska · 09-03 11:17Z · 78 km · Moon post-transit
M6.3 · 84 km SSW of Nikolski, Alaska · 09-03 11:17Z · 35 km · Moon post-transit
Prediction revision 413 of 413 · 08/31 03:57Zevery revision preserved in the dossier

Bow-shock exit shifted 573 min earlier: updated upstream conditions moved the modeled boundaries.

Lunar ephemeris (astronomy-engine) Solar-wind plasma + IMF (L1) Geometric transit model (Shue-98 magnetopause, 1.3× gas-dynamic bow shock) v1.0.0 Planetary Kp Ring current (Dst/SYM-H) Ground magnetometer (Newport) ARTEMIS/SPDF archive Event dossier storage
What am I looking at?

The observation workflow around each lunar magnetotail passage. Before the Moon reaches Earth's plasma boundaries, SkyFields opens a numbered event (Lunar Tail Transit #001, #002…), captures a 72-hour baseline, predicts every crossing with an uncertainty envelope, preserves each prediction revision, and later attaches delayed ARTEMIS measurements without rewriting the original prediction.

  • · The countdown shows the full sequence — sheath entry, tail entry, central passage, tail exit, bow-shock exit — each with its ± envelope; an exact-looking time without uncertainty would be a lie.
  • · 'Modeled crossing' means the persistence rules were met (10+ minutes across the boundary), never that a spacecraft confirmed it — that label is reserved.
  • · The reservoir card freezes conditions at tail entry; later recovery can't rewrite what the Moon actually flew into.
  • · An interesting day: a boundary watch banner up, the boundary contracting under rising pressure, and the entry estimate shifting with its reason logged.

Fed by: Lunar ephemeris + the live Shue-98 boundary system + every canonical state on the dashboard for baseline capture. Feeds: The dossier is the permanent record ARTEMIS validation grades in Phase 3; checkpoints and revisions feed the System Timeline.

Transform

Moon State

astronomy-engine
Waning Crescent
11.7 d since full
Phase angle330.1 °
Illumination6.7 %
Distance369,975 km
Tidal force1.122 × meannear perigee
Magnetotail window · estimate
Outside

Geometric estimate from lunar phase — not a direct spacecraft measurement.

Solar-wind exposure58 Rᴇ from Earth
Solar windexposed to the wind, carving a wake

Crosses into magnetosheath in ~15.0 days.

Regime from the Moon's geometry vs. a live solar-wind magnetopause (Shue-98) — the plasma environment ARTEMIS/THEMIS measure in situ.

What am I looking at?

The Moon's classical state — phase, distance, tides — joined to its modern one: which plasma regime it currently occupies.

  • · Phase and regime are the same geometry seen two ways: full moon = deep in the tail's direction.
  • · Tidal force tracks distance (perigee/apogee), independent of all space weather.
  • · An interesting day: 'Magnetotail crossing' with a next-crossing countdown under a day.

Fed by: Pure orbital mechanics + the live boundary model. Feeds: Sets the Earth–Moon panel's interaction story.

Contain · Transform · Release

Earth–Moon Interaction

live
Coupling state
Highly Coupled

Bz has held southward for 10.2 h (mean -3.1 nT) in a 474 km/s wind — the valve is wide open and solar-wind energy is loading the magnetosphere efficiently.

inputs: Bz south for 10.2 h (mean -3.1 nT) · Newell dΦ/dt 1.70× avg · wind 474 km/s · Bt 5.1 nT · Pdyn 0.78 nPa · 60 zero crossings/24h · strongly directional
Lunar geometrygeometry
New-Moon Upstream Alignment
☀ sunwardmagnetotail →
Reservoir · ≥2 MeV electronsGOES-19
664Acceleration underway

The stored population the Moon transits when it crosses the tail — charged by earlier driving, not today's input. Full gauge in Loading & Memory.

Boundary-crossing watch
Moon exited the magnetotail 9.2 d ago

Observation window closed. Boundary time is estimated from geometry under today's solar-wind magnetopause.

Moon upstream in the direct solar wind, near the Sun–Earth line; its wake trails generally Earthward. Solar-wind energy is loading the magnetosphere efficiently meanwhile.

What am I looking at?

The Earth–Moon system as one plasma environment: the coupling state, where the Moon sits in it, the boundary-crossing watch, and what the combination means.

  • · The geometry dial shows the Moon on its orbit relative to the tail cone — inside it near full moon.
  • · The crossing watch opens a 12-hour observation window at each tail entry/exit; anything seen during it is correlation, not causation.
  • · An interesting day: the Moon entering the tail while the belt is elevated — transiting a charged reservoir.

Fed by: Lunar orbital geometry + the live magnetopause from wind conditions. Feeds: ARTEMIS checks these predicted crossings against real spacecraft data.

Attract · Contain

Upstream Alignment Watch

Watching1 event archived

Next upstream alignment 2026-09-11

Elongation
30.0°
Minimum this passage
next new moon 09-11 03:27Z
next solar eclipse annular · 02-06 15:59Z

The full-moon passage gets the Transit Observatory; this is its new-moon mirror — the Moon crossing the Sun–Earth line upstream, wake toward Earth. Each passage is archived with upstream and Earth-response captures. Whether these passages ever register on Earth-side sensors is a question the archive will answer with data, not assumption.

What am I looking at?

The Moon's classical state — phase, distance, tides — joined to its modern one: which plasma regime it currently occupies.

  • · Phase and regime are the same geometry seen two ways: full moon = deep in the tail's direction.
  • · Tidal force tracks distance (perigee/apogee), independent of all space weather.
  • · An interesting day: 'Magnetotail crossing' with a next-crossing countdown under a day.

Fed by: Pure orbital mechanics + the live boundary model. Feeds: Sets the Earth–Moon panel's interaction story.

Attract · Transform

ARTEMIS in-situ check

live

The two ARTEMIS probes orbit the Moon and measure the plasma it sits in. We compare their latest available reading with what our geometric model said the Moon's regime was at that same moment — model vs. measurement.

Querying NASA/SPDF…

ARTEMIS/THEMIS L2 (NASA/SPDF via HAPI) lags real time by ~2–3 days with gaps — this validates the geometric model against the last spacecraft measurement, it is not a live overlay. The model it checks currently reads: New-Moon Upstream Alignment.

What am I looking at?

Reality check: NASA's ARTEMIS probes at the Moon versus this dashboard's geometric model — model vs measurement.

  • · The data is 2–3 days old by design; this validates the model, it does not nowcast.
  • · 'Agree' means the model put the Moon in the right plasma at the measured moment.
  • · A disagreement is interesting — it usually means an unusual wind compressed the boundaries.

Fed by: NASA/SPDF spacecraft archives (HAPI protocol). Feeds: Confidence in every lunar-regime claim elsewhere on the dashboard.

Parallel Physics

the same load-store-release grammar in Earth's water system

Attract · Contain · Transform · Release

Planetary Water Engine

live

The movement, storage, and release of energy through Earth's water cycle — parallel physics beside the electromagnetic system, never claimed as its effect.

Water engineconfidence 0.90
Loading

The water engine is loading: sustained rainfall is filling receiving basins faster than they drain.

  • · Moisture availability: grid-mean precipitable water 29.4 kg/m², peak 64.7 in the E Tropical Pacific Model Estimate
  • · Transport: 22 grid cells carry ≥45 kg/m² of column moisture (strongest: E Tropical Pacific, S Asia / Indian Ocean, E Asia) Model Estimate
  • · Land storage: 6 of 30 sampled basins loaded, 4 near saturation (soil-moisture proxy) Calculated
  • · Active release: 1 current flood events, 1 at Orange/Red alert (GDACS) Observed
Global hydrologic load25 / 100 · active
Global hydrologic release28 / 100 · active
Hydrologic memory
6h
24h
3d
7d
30d

Transport shifts in hours; watersheds load over days; soil and snow remember for weeks. A release can arrive after the intake that caused it has moved on.

Dashboard-derived indices, scoring v1.0.1 — inputs shown in evidence; not physical constants.

Attract · intake  →  Transform · transportModel Estimate
: mean 29.4 · peak 64.7 kg/m²
intake elevated · transport strong · 22 moist grid cells
E Tropical Pacific: 64.7 kg/m²
S Asia / Indian Ocean: 61.6 kg/m²
E Asia: 60.2 kg/m²

Water vapor is the carrier: condensation converts stored latent heat into cloud, rain and motion. Sampled on a coarse model grid — a summary, not a map.

Contain · storage  →  Release · dischargeCalculated
storage high · 6 of 30 basins loaded, 4 saturated
Nile Highlands (Ethiopia): soil p100 · 7d 54 mm · saturated · [regulated] Reservoir-buffered loading
Brahmaputra (Bangladesh/NE India): soil p100 · 7d 49 mm · saturated · [hybrid] Mixed loading
Mekong (SE Asia): soil p100 · 7d 157 mm · saturated · [hybrid] Mixed loading
Ganges (N India): soil p94 · 7d 86 mm · saturated · [hybrid] Mixed loading
Human containment · open data gap

Basin classes (wild / hybrid / regulated / cascade) are static, literature-based. Wild systems turn surplus water into space; dammed systems into time. Live reservoir storage, remaining flood-control capacity and spillway state have no open global feed — a quiet regulated basin may be safe or merely holding the pulse behind finite storage. "Release underway" cannot distinguish managed from forced.

Pilot live · Ohio Valley (USACE) — tightening
Barren River Lake: 1.1% into flood pool (168.38 m of 168.25–179.83 m)
Brookville Lake: 2.4% into flood pool (228.19 m of 227.99–236.22 m)
Caesar Creek Lake: pool levels unpublished
Nolin River Lake: pool levels unpublished
Pilot live · Columbia (USACE) — seasonal storage (no verdict)
Libby (Lake Koocanusa): 92.1% of operating range full (745.37 m) — seasonal rule-curve operation, measured not verdicted
Dworshak: 54.4% of operating range full (466.12 m) — seasonal rule-curve operation, measured not verdicted
Albeni Falls (Pend Oreille): 97.4% of operating range full (628.56 m) — seasonal rule-curve operation, measured not verdicted
release localized · rate peak 1.5 mm/h (E Tropical Pacific) · 24h max 42 mm · 1 flood events (1 major) Observed

The receiving landscape has memory: saturated soil converts more of each new rainfall directly into runoff. Soil percentiles are a 0–7 cm model proxy, not deep groundwater.

Hydrologic release events · GDACS Observed
ChinaOrange alert
Flood in China · since 2026-07-31 · updated 09-06T06:23Z

An active hydrologic release event: realized discharge from a loaded or overwhelmed watershed.

Physical release events only — human-impact figures are not inferred from physical data.

What am I looking at?

The Planetary Water Engine follows water as an energy carrier. Solar heating helps evaporate water from oceans and land; atmospheric circulation transports that vapor; condensation releases latent heat; and soil, snow, rivers, reservoirs, and groundwater temporarily store the result. Floods and landslides are visible release events from a system that may have been loading for hours, days, or weeks.

  • · Precipitable water shows how much moisture the atmospheric column carries — the pipe's capacity, not the rain itself.
  • · Soil moisture and antecedent rainfall show watershed memory: how much capacity remains to absorb new water.
  • · Flood alerts show realized or expected release, not the complete upstream cause.
  • · An interesting state: strong transport entering a saturated basin before widespread release begins.
  • · This is parallel physics beside the solar system panels — proximity in time is never causation.

Fed by: Open-Meteo model fields (precipitation, column moisture, soil — Model Estimate) and GDACS flood alerts (Observed). Feeds: The System Timeline's water events and the Rosetta Note's hydrologic sentence.

The Record

the day's events across every stream, chained where they connect

Attract · Release

System Timeline

Last 24h across every stream — flares, CMEs, shocks, Bz regimes, geomagnetic and particle responses, lunar boundaries. Persistent changes only.electronsBz
19:40≥2 MeV electrons fell below 1000 pfu (768)
15:50≥2 MeV electrons exceeded 1000 pfu (1344)
09:59Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
09:45Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
05:08Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
04:50Bz regime southward → northward — shielding
03:47Bz regime southward → northward — shielding
03:25Bz regime southward → northward — shielding
02:24Bz regime neutral → northward — shielding
02:03Bz regime neutral → northward — shielding
01:40Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
01:16Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
00:16Bz regime neutral → northward — shielding
23:43Bz regime neutral → southward — coupling opening
23:14Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
22:30Bz regime northward → southward — coupling opening
22:03Bz regime southward → northward — shielding
21:42Bz regime southward → northward — shielding
20:51Bz regime southward → northward — shielding
20:39Bz regime neutral → southward — coupling opening
What am I looking at?

The last 24 hours across every stream as one ribbon: flares, CMEs, shocks, Bz regime changes, particle threshold crossings, geomagnetic responses and lunar boundaries.

  • · Only persistent changes make the ribbon — flutter is filtered by design.
  • · Chain markers (⛓) group events that plausibly belong to one sequence: solid = a matched forecast, dashed = timing only.
  • · 'Coincident' tags cross-stream events within 30 minutes — an observation, never a causal claim.

Fed by: Every feed's event detections. Feeds: The day's story the Rosetta Note narrates.